Knowledge = Information that is Practiced |
- Literature (1-way medium) e.g., books, magazines, blogs, articles
- People (2-way medium) e.g., other project managers, general management, project stakeholders
For example, I first read about Monte Carlo simulations in Waltzing with Bears (literature). After talking to a Microsoft Solution Manager who actually had implemented this method (people), I tried using it for coming up with ranged estimates i.e., task X will complete within 10-15 days instead of single-point estimates (task X will complete in 10 days). Liquid Planner, an online alternative to MS Project, has Monte Carlo simulations built in and is really cool for predicting the probability of completing a schedule by a certain date.
In fact, in one project, after putting together a schedule for a project, I had told my management that we only had a 10% probability of meeting the desired date and a 90% probability of meeting another date that was nearly two months later. While we decided not to share this info with our client, at the end of the project, the Monte Carlo method had amazingly enough predicated the correct date to within a few weeks of accuracy!
But despite this very educational experience, I stopped using Monte Carlo because my consulting situation in another large firm didn't allow for online project management tools. And using the Monte Carlo method within MS Project 2007, the only authorized project management app, proved time-consuming. Still, it was valuable experience gained using this statistical technique.
So, whenever you read a post, my recommendation is that you try for a week or so what's been posted to see if the specific schedule management technique works for you. If it doesn't, please do drop me a note letting me know why it didn't work for you. I'm always interested in learning when specific techniques work and when they fail.
And don't worry.
In future posts, I'll spend less time pontificating and focus more on actionable information that you can implement and thus turn into diamonds of knowledge.
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